In their first two games, the Chargers have given up 8.4 and 8.9 yards per pass attempt, respectively. They have not been able to generate a consistent pass rush, and they've given up several big plays through the air.

Plummer had an interesting split last year: He averaged 37% more fantasy points per game at home. Hosting one of the worst defenses in the league the past few years, Plummer could see a huge day against the Chargers. San Diego allowed 36 TDs through the air last year, and looked weak against both David Carr and Chad Pennington this year. I think the Broncos offense is good enough to dominate the line of scrimmage against inferior opponents, and Plummer will throw for multiple TDs this week.

This one might seem like the "gimmee" - take the guy ranked 13th versus an easy defense to go above the baseline. I picked Jake, though, because I feel he will be a top-5 QB this week. The team has been aching for Jake to throw some TD passes. This is the week. He also will have plenty of room to run against the SD defense, and I believe he could manage over 40 yards rushing and a rushing TD - a top-5 finish is more points in this contest. I also like AJ Feely at home, but Feely could finish #14, have had a very good game for a Dolphin QB, yet I would get zero points.

The Colts have several talented pass-rushers along their defensive line, and will use an assortment of alignments and blitzes to generate pressure on Favre. The Packers, meanwhile, will keep the ball on the ground unless they get behind, limiting Favre's fantasy production.

This isn't as much a knock on Favre as it is the opponents of the rest of the top twelve. Going on the road to beat the Colts is no easy task, and I think Mike Sherman will do his best to keep the explosive Indy offense off the field. That probably means a lot of Ahman Green this week, and Favre playing conservatively. After facing the SB MVP and NFL MVP the past two weeks, seeing another star QB is nothing new for the Colts D.

McNair struggled in week one versus the Dolphins (most QBs do), but he bounced back pretty well against the Colts in the home opener. Another home game on slate against he Jacksonville Jaguars would normally keep McNair in the upper echelon. However, the Jags pass D has been very good because their run D is smothering people. With Bledsoe struggling to a 17/26 153 day and Plummer managing 23/39 for 250, but no TDs, I actually believe McNair may have an off day. He won't necessarily be as horrible as against he Dolphins, but he might struggle with passing yardage and in finding the endzone, and he might finish down at QB 14/15 range.

Onterrio Smith had a big opening week, averaging over 5 yards a carry while racking up 139 yards from scrimmage. Last week he failed to live up to expectations, rushing for only 28 yards on 10 carries. He was, however, an integral part of the passing game, and I expect him to get 100+ yards and a touchdown this week against the Bears.

Garner's coming off one of the most silent 100 rushing yards/seven catch game in recent memory. Facing his old team, Garner has a lot of motivation to perform well. Gruden would love to stick it to the Raiders using one of his favorite weapons, and Garner is clearly the top weapon on the Bucs. With no Keenan McCardell, Joey Galloway and Michael Pittman, the Bucs will be Garner's team this weekend.

The Ravens' run defense has looked very solid this year, holding the Browns to 85 yards rushing in the opener, and the Steelers to 93 yards rushing last week. The Bengals' offensive line will be overmatched against the Ravens' front seven, and Johnson should have trouble finding any room to run.

Chris Brown has rushed for 100 yards in the first half of each game this year. The Jags haven't allowed a 100 yard rusher since Stephen Davis in week one last year. The Titans have enough other weapons on offense to shift to a passing attack this week, and I don't expect Brown to hit the century mark even at home, against the Jaguars.

He's the best fantasy player in the land. Levin, you are nuts to call him to finish below the RB 24. However, if the job the Broncos did on Fred Taylor is any indication that the Donkeys have righted their ship after being torn apart by Priest, and if I correctly read the "bounce-back" effect of returning home after a heartbreak 7-6 loss to face a division rival, LT will not find the endzone, and he won't get more than 80 combined yards.

Terrell was shut out last week, catching no passes. His only stats were: one rush for minus fifteen yards and a fumble. Not pretty. He will be inconsistent throughout the season, but I expect him to rebound in week three to catch at least seven passes. The Vikings' secondary did not stop the Cowboys in week one or the Eagles in week two; the Bears should have some success against them as well.

Morton should be the beneficiary of all the banged up skill players in Kansas City. With Eddie Kennison and Boerigter out, and Priest Holmes hurting, Morton should be targeted quite a bit against the Texans. Kansas City's offense will get out of this funk soon enough, and Morton should capitalize against a defense that made Drew Brees and David Carr look like Pro Bowlers. What do you think two vets like Johnnie Morton and Trent Green will do to them?

This guy IS the team's #1 receiver still, correct? He was targeted 14 times in week one and only 3 last week. The kid is averaging 18 yards per game. Yuck. However, division rival Seattle welcomes San Fran this week, and the passing game will be on display as this should be a shoot out. I look for Lloyd to finally show why he was a FBGuy sleeper pick, I look for him to score at least one TD, and to finish well inside of the top-30 WRs.

I think Andre Johnson is an up-and-coming star in the NFL, but he won't be called on as much as normal this week. The Chiefs have been unable to stop the run, and the Texans will give Dom Davis a heavy workload to shorten the game.

I like Javon Walker, but I don't expect him to be a very consistent performer. The Packers have a tough task ahead, as the Colts are tough to beat at home. I think Walker's no more likely as any other Packer receiver to grab a score, and as a result think he might be someone you want to bench this week.

Keyshawn has been good lately - he is fitting in with Parcells well. This week, however, he faces a Washington team that was impressive at home against the Bucs. They have the personnel to shut down at least one receiver. This week, they will concentrate on keeping Keyshawn out of the end zone. I expect the pass D to really eat up the Cowboys after being embarrassed last week in New York. Other receivers might get theirs against the 'skins, but I have the feeling Key. will be shut out.

Eric Johnson has 13 receptions on 15 targets so far this year, and has become a big part of the 49ers' passing offense. The 49ers will probably be playing from behind in the second half against the Seahawks, so expect Johnson to figure prominently into the gameplan.

I'm not going to learn anytime soon---I think Desmond Clark is primed for a breakout one of these weeks. He's recorded just three receptions in two weeks, but I maintain Clark will be a big part of this offense sometime soon. This offense is designed to mirror the Chiefs, and so far Thomas Jones has done a nice Priest Holmes impersonation. Facing the Vikings, this might be the week Clark performs like Tony Gonzalez.

As long as he is healthy, Eric Johnson will remain a viable candidate to finish as a top-5 TE on any given week. With what I anticipate to be a shoot out in Seattle, I am selecting both Lloyd and Johnson to finish quite a bit higher than the baseline. For Eric, he has emerged as a go-to target for whichever San Fran QB is behind center, and he has nice soft hands. If both Lloyd and Eric catch TDs this week, they will both finish above the baseline. In a shoot-out, I think it is quite possible they both will.

Clark has been targeted only four times this season, and has only one catch (albeit for a 64-yard touchdown). The presence of Marcus Pollard means that he will receive fewer looks than other top ten TEs, and will have a greater number of quiet games.

Boo didn't catch a pass last week, and hauled in just one reception in the opener. With Deuce McAllister out, I think we'll see more three and four wide receiver sets out of the Saints. Williams has to produce before I'm willing to make him an automatic start, and the Rams D is no pushover at home.

As I believe I mentioned last week when I picked Winslow to fall, when judging which TEs will struggle, it is a good idea to look at the opposing cover LBs. Washington has some of the best cover LBs in the game. The risk is that Gibbs will rush his LBs at the QB instead of leaving them in coverage, thus freeing the TE as the hot read. That is the risk here - Witten will either be huge as the check down or he will get next to nothing as he is covered well or called to stay in and block against the blitz. I am gambling on one of the latter two situations playing out.