| Sometimes to find interesting facts/trends you have to look at the data game by game. Last week I looked at eight AFC teams (http://footballguys.com/inside8.cfm). This week we will cover the remaining 8 AFC Teams.
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Rest of the AFC Teams (Listed alphabetically):
KANSAS CITY SEASON LOG
----OFFENSIVE---- ----DEFENSIVE----
W-L T.O -RUSHING PASSING- -RUSHING PASSING-
DATE OPPONENT S A LINE TOTL FINAL RESCR RAT YDS RYPA YDS PYPC YDS RYPA DEF PYPC
-------- ---------- - - ----- ---- ----- ----- --- ----------------- -----------------
09/08/02 cleveland W W 1.0 36.0 40-39 40-39 0 194 6.47 276 13.8 59 2.95 352 12.6
09/15/02 JACKSNVLLE L L -4.0 45.0 16-23 20-29 -1 140 5.00 196 12.3 130 4.48 320 12.8
09/22/02 n.england L W 9.0 43.5 38-41 19-34 -2 221 6.50 128 8.0 97 4.85 399 10.2
09/29/02 MIAMI W W 3.0 44.5 48-30 34-19 5 122 3.70 328 13.7 105 5.53 294 10.1
10/06/02 ny jets W W -3.0 46.0 29-25 29-25 0 215 7.68 289 12.6 139 5.35 220 9.6
10/13/02 san diego L W 4.0 46.5 34-35 24-25 3 88 3.03 231 13.6 153 5.46 312 11.1
10/20/02 DENVER L P 3.0 50.5 34-37 20-30 1 162 5.23 143 7.2 141 5.22 366 12.2
10/27/02 OAKLAND W W 3.0 55.5 20-10 20-10 0 133 4.43 190 10.6 83 4.88 334 9.5
SEASON-TO-DATE TOTALS
-----OFFENSIVE---- ----DEFENSIVE-----
ATS AVG AVG T.O -RUSHING PASSING- -RUSHING PASSING-
W-L SCORE RESCR RAT YDS RYPA YDS PYPC YDS RYPA DEF PYPC
----- ----- ----- --- --------- -------- --------- --------
Kan City 6- 1 32-30 26-26 6 159 5.25 223 11.6 113 4.88 325 11.0
My takes:
- Can't stop the run at all. Last 7 games they have yielded over 4.4 RYPA.
- Turnover ratio of +6 is distorted by Miami game.
- Only San Diego (best rush defense) was able to hold rushing yards below 100.
- Already 5 games where they have scored 30+ points. They also scored 29 in one game.
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MIAMI SEASON LOG
----OFFENSIVE---- ----DEFENSIVE----
W-L T.O -RUSHING PASSING- -RUSHING PASSING-
DATE OPPONENT S A LINE TOTL FINAL RESCR RAT YDS RYPA YDS PYPC YDS RYPA DEF PYPC
-------- ---------- - - ----- ---- ----- ----- --- ----------------- -----------------
09/08/02 DETROIT W W -9.0 36.0 49-21 27-14 2 182 4.44 207 11.5 51 2.68 206 12.1
09/15/02 indianapls W W 1.5 46.5 21-13 24-25 2 163 4.79 179 13.8 143 4.61 289 11.1
09/22/02 NY JETS W W -6.0 40.5 30- 3 30- 7 4 211 6.03 183 11.4 58 2.64 131 8.2
09/29/02 kan city L L -3.0 44.5 30-48 19-34 -5 105 5.53 294 10.1 122 3.70 328 13.7
10/06/02 N.ENGLAND W W -3.0 44.0 26-13 22-13 2 137 3.11 182 10.7 37 2.18 208 12.2
10/13/02 denver W W 3.5 41.5 24-22 17-24 1 67 3.05 192 10.1 111 4.27 299 11.1
10/20/02 BUFFALO L L -5.5 46.0 10-23 10-26 -6 132 3.88 155 11.9 132 4.89 162 10.8
SEASON-TO-DATE TOTALS
-----OFFENSIVE---- ----DEFENSIVE-----
ATS AVG AVG T.O -RUSHING PASSING- -RUSHING PASSING-
W-L SCORE RESCR RAT YDS RYPA YDS PYPC YDS RYPA DEF PYPC
----- ----- ----- --- --------- -------- --------- --------
Miami 5- 2 27-20 21-20 0 142 4.35 199 11.1 93 3.74 232 11.4
My takes:
- Can be very strong against the run. Held three teams below 60 yards rushing.
- Rescore says this team should be 3-4 (instead of 5-2)
- Rescore data shows this team should be scoring 6 less points a game.
- Rushing yards per carry has been por the last three games.
- Turnover ratio is inconsistent. Had -11 ratio in two worst games.
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NEW ENGLAND SEASON LOG
----OFFENSIVE---- ----DEFENSIVE----
W-L T.O -RUSHING PASSING- -RUSHING PASSING-
DATE OPPONENT S A LINE TOTL FINAL RESCR RAT YDS RYPA YDS PYPC YDS RYPA DEF PYPC
-------- ---------- - - ----- ---- ----- ----- --- ----------------- -----------------
09/09/02 PITTSBURGH W W 2.5 38.0 30-14 26-13 4 63 3.50 280 9.7 74 3.08 209 8.4
09/15/02 ny jets W W 1.0 41.0 44- 7 44- 7 0 163 4.08 269 10.8 32 3.56 168 9.3
09/22/02 KAN CITY W L -9.0 43.5 41-38 34-19 2 97 4.85 399 10.2 221 6.50 128 8.0
09/29/02 san diego L L -3.0 41.0 14-21 25-24 -2 87 3.78 353 9.8 238 7.00 104 10.4
10/06/02 miami L L 3.0 44.0 13-26 13-22 -2 37 2.18 208 12.2 137 3.11 182 10.7
10/13/02 GREEN BAY L L -6.0 48.5 10-28 13-24 -4 123 5.59 166 6.9 158 4.39 143 8.4
10/27/02 DENVER L L -3.0 45.5 16-24 14-19 2 69 3.63 110 7.3 136 3.40 215 11.9
SEASON-TO-DATE TOTALS
-----OFFENSIVE---- ----DEFENSIVE-----
ATS AVG AVG T.O -RUSHING PASSING- -RUSHING PASSING-
W-L SCORE RESCR RAT YDS RYPA YDS PYPC YDS RYPA DEF PYPC
----- ----- ----- --- --------- -------- --------- --------
N.England 2- 5 24-23 24-18 0 91 4.02 255 9.6 142 4.51 164 9.5
My takes:
- Rescore says this team is a lot better than actual score.
- Rush defense is pourous in the last 5 games, but tightening up.
- Team is tough against the pass having yielded only two 200+ yard games.
- Lack of rushing yards looks to be because of opportunities.
- Passing yards has declined in last 5 games.
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NY JETS SEASON LOG
----OFFENSIVE---- ----DEFENSIVE----
W-L T.O -RUSHING PASSING- -RUSHING PASSING-
DATE OPPONENT S A LINE TOTL FINAL RESCR RAT YDS RYPA YDS PYPC YDS RYPA DEF PYPC
-------- ---------- - - ----- ---- ----- ----- --- ----------------- -----------------
09/08/02 buffalo W W -3.0 42.0 37-31 19-22 2 73 5.21 193 8.0 142 4.44 242 9.3
09/15/02 N.ENGLAND L L -1.0 41.0 7-44 7-44 0 32 3.56 168 9.3 163 4.08 269 10.8
09/22/02 miami L L 6.0 40.5 3-30 7-30 -4 58 2.64 131 8.2 211 6.03 183 11.4
09/29/02 jacksnvlle L L 3.0 42.0 3-28 17-29 -4 78 3.55 267 12.7 223 5.58 160 16.0
10/06/02 KAN CITY L L 3.0 46.0 25-29 25-29 0 139 5.35 220 9.6 215 7.68 289 12.6
10/20/02 MINNESOTA W W -3.0 49.0 20- 7 30-19 4 91 3.14 316 13.2 101 4.39 288 11.1
10/27/02 CLEVELAND L L -3.0 44.5 21-24 11-25 -3 66 3.30 175 9.2 42 2.10 292 8.8
SEASON-TO-DATE TOTALS
-----OFFENSIVE---- ----DEFENSIVE-----
ATS AVG AVG T.O -RUSHING PASSING- -RUSHING PASSING-
W-L SCORE RESCR RAT YDS RYPA YDS PYPC YDS RYPA DEF PYPC
----- ----- ----- --- --------- -------- --------- --------
NY Jets 2- 5 17-28 17-28 -5 77 3.78 210 10.1 157 5.03 246 10.8
My takes:
- Except for last week, the Jets have been terrible stopping the run.
- The Jets have not yielded a 300 yard passing game, but 3 efforts over 275 yards.
- Only one game with over 100 yards rushing.
- Rescore equals actual data meaning this team is as bad as they look.
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OAKLAND SEASON LOG
----OFFENSIVE---- ----DEFENSIVE----
W-L T.O -RUSHING PASSING- -RUSHING PASSING-
DATE OPPONENT S A LINE TOTL FINAL RESCR RAT YDS RYPA YDS PYPC YDS RYPA DEF PYPC
-------- ---------- - - ----- ---- ----- ----- --- ----------------- -----------------
09/08/02 SEATTLE W W -7.0 40.0 31-17 24-14 -2 221 5.53 202 10.6 43 2.69 143 6.2
09/15/02 pittsburgh W W 3.5 40.0 30-17 33-13 3 95 5.59 369 8.6 72 4.00 201 11.2
09/29/02 TENNESSEE W W -7.0 44.5 52-25 33-23 3 90 4.29 374 12.9 43 2.69 387 12.1
10/06/02 buffalo W W -3.0 53.5 49-31 35-26 3 142 5.26 353 15.3 80 4.44 399 12.5
10/13/02 st. louis L L -8.0 48.0 13-28 20-23 -2 65 3.82 302 10.1 158 4.94 164 11.7
10/20/02 SAN DIEGO L L -7.0 47.0 21-27 23-22 -1 37 3.08 353 10.1 175 4.17 161 10.1
10/27/02 kan city L L -3.0 55.5 10-20 10-20 0 83 4.88 334 9.5 133 4.43 190 10.6
SEASON-TO-DATE TOTALS
-----OFFENSIVE---- ----DEFENSIVE-----
ATS AVG AVG T.O -RUSHING PASSING- -RUSHING PASSING-
W-L SCORE RESCR RAT YDS RYPA YDS PYPC YDS RYPA DEF PYPC
----- ----- ----- --- --------- -------- --------- --------
Oakland 4- 3 29-24 25-20 4 105 4.85 327 10.7 101 4.09 235 10.8
My takes:
- Six straight games over 300 yards passing. WOW.
- Rush defense started hot, but have looked soft the last three weeks.
- The Raiders worst three games for putting points up were their last 3 games.
- Rushing yards are inconsistent (low of 37 - high of 221)
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PITTSBURGH SEASON LOG
----OFFENSIVE---- ----DEFENSIVE----
W-L T.O -RUSHING PASSING- -RUSHING PASSING-
DATE OPPONENT S A LINE TOTL FINAL RESCR RAT YDS RYPA YDS PYPC YDS RYPA DEF PYPC
-------- ---------- - - ----- ---- ----- ----- --- ----------------- -----------------
09/09/02 n.england L L -2.5 38.0 14-30 13-26 -4 74 3.08 209 8.4 63 3.50 280 9.7
09/15/02 OAKLAND L L -3.5 40.0 17-30 13-33 -3 72 4.00 201 11.2 95 5.59 369 8.6
09/29/02 CLEVELAND W L -6.0 44.0 16-13 16-13 0 93 2.74 265 10.2 123 5.13 122 7.6
10/06/02 n.orleans L P 3.0 44.0 29-32 20-22 -2 120 4.62 244 11.1 119 4.41 196 14.0
10/13/02 cincinnati W W -6.0 41.5 34- 7 28-14 2 211 6.03 197 12.3 78 3.25 190 8.3
10/21/02 INDIANAPLS W W -4.5 46.5 28-10 25-20 2 182 5.52 182 12.1 72 3.43 295 9.2
10/27/02 baltimore W W -3.0 37.5 31-18 23-18 4 110 3.79 173 9.1 67 3.19 293 10.1
SEASON-TO-DATE TOTALS
-----OFFENSIVE---- ----DEFENSIVE-----
ATS AVG AVG T.O -RUSHING PASSING- -RUSHING PASSING-
W-L SCORE RESCR RAT YDS RYPA YDS PYPC YDS RYPA DEF PYPC
----- ----- ----- --- --------- -------- --------- --------
Pittsburgh 3- 3 24-20 20-21 -1 123 4.33 210 10.4 88 4.06 249 9.4
My takes:
- Passing yards look about the same under Tommy Maddox, but points scored has surged.
- Rescore data is misleading because of bad games in Weeks 1 and 2.
- Rushing defense remains very strong with 4 games yielding less than 3.5 RYPA.
- Pass defense was exploited early in the season and appears to be struggling again.
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SAN DIEGO SEASON LOG
----OFFENSIVE---- ----DEFENSIVE----
W-L T.O -RUSHING PASSING- -RUSHING PASSING-
DATE OPPONENT S A LINE TOTL FINAL RESCR RAT YDS RYPA YDS PYPC YDS RYPA DEF PYPC
-------- ---------- - - ----- ---- ----- ----- --- ----------------- -----------------
09/08/02 cincinnati W W 3.0 37.5 34- 6 26-11 1 241 5.36 160 10.7 36 2.77 167 9.3
09/15/02 HOUSTON W W -13.5 34.0 24- 3 19- 5 2 124 3.54 143 9.5 89 3.56 29 4.8
09/22/02 arizona W W -3.0 39.5 23-15 21-16 2 125 3.68 164 9.6 97 4.62 200 11.8
09/29/02 N.ENGLAND W W 3.0 41.0 21-14 24-25 2 238 7.00 104 10.4 87 3.78 353 9.8
10/06/02 denver L L 6.0 40.5 9-26 17-29 -2 79 4.39 235 9.0 117 3.77 300 11.5
10/13/02 KAN CITY W L -4.0 46.5 35-34 25-24 -3 153 5.46 312 11.1 88 3.03 231 13.6
10/20/02 oakland W W 7.0 47.0 27-21 22-23 1 175 4.17 161 10.1 37 3.08 353 10.1
SEASON-TO-DATE TOTALS
-----OFFENSIVE---- ----DEFENSIVE-----
ATS AVG AVG T.O -RUSHING PASSING- -RUSHING PASSING-
W-L SCORE RESCR RAT YDS RYPA YDS PYPC YDS RYPA DEF PYPC
----- ----- ----- --- --------- -------- --------- --------
San Diego 5- 2 25-17 22-19 3 162 4.81 183 10.1 79 3.58 233 10.5
My takes:
- Rush defense has been stellar even without Junior Seau.
- Only 1 game with less than 1250 yards rushing. Consistently awesome.
- Rescore shows they should also be 6-1, but in a lot more close games.
- Only two games with 200+ yards passing.
- The 29 passing yards allowed against Houston distorts their pass defense stats.
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TENNESSEE SEASON LOG
----OFFENSIVE---- ----DEFENSIVE----
W-L T.O -RUSHING PASSING- -RUSHING PASSING-
DATE OPPONENT S A LINE TOTL FINAL RESCR RAT YDS RYPA YDS PYPC YDS RYPA DEF PYPC
-------- ---------- - - ----- ---- ----- ----- --- ----------------- -----------------
09/08/02 PHILLY W W -1.0 37.0 27-24 19-18 -1 61 2.44 267 11.1 80 3.64 181 10.1
09/15/02 dallas L L -3.5 37.5 13-21 20-20 -1 98 3.77 235 10.2 67 2.58 230 16.4
09/22/02 CLEVELAND L L -4.5 40.0 28-31 17-20 4 86 2.53 101 6.7 92 4.60 311 8.6
09/29/02 oakland L L 7.0 44.5 25-52 23-33 -3 43 2.69 387 12.1 90 4.29 374 12.9
10/06/02 WASHINGTON L L -4.0 44.0 14-31 13-33 -4 59 3.93 230 9.6 156 5.20 286 13.0
10/13/02 JACKSNVLLE W W 2.0 43.5 23-14 24-11 1 152 3.80 218 8.4 130 5.00 68 9.7
10/27/02 cincinnati W W -5.0 41.5 30-24 30-24 0 134 4.96 208 13.0 191 4.78 193 11.4
SEASON-TO-DATE TOTALS
-----OFFENSIVE---- ----DEFENSIVE-----
ATS AVG AVG T.O -RUSHING PASSING- -RUSHING PASSING-
W-L SCORE RESCR RAT YDS RYPA YDS PYPC YDS RYPA DEF PYPC
----- ----- ----- --- --------- -------- --------- --------
Tennessee 3- 4 23-28 21-23 -4 90 3.46 235 10.3 115 4.36 235 11.5
My takes:
- Rush defense has fallen apart and is being exploited badly.
- Pass defense was tightened, but at the expense of stopping the run.
- Running game finally got on track the last two games.
- Losing turnover battle in most contests.
- Rescore shows this team isn't quite as bad as the score shows.