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Curtis Conway career statistics

Last year, Curtis Conway had 116 rushing yards and one rushing TD, making 18 rushing fantasy points. Not bad for a 30-year-old.

Best rushing seasons (since 1970) by WRs aged 29+

                           Rush
Name                 Year   FPT
--------------------------------
Jerry Rice           1994    21
Dwight Stone         1993    18
Anthony Carter       1991    18
Curtis Conway        2001    18
Raghib Ismail        1999    17
Rod Smith            2000    16
Leslie Shepherd      1998    15
Jerry Rice           1996    14
Leonard Thompson     1981    14
Freddie Solomon      1984    13
Leonard Thompson     1983    13
Lance Rentzel        1972    13
Jerry Rice           1993    13
Anthony Carter       1992    13
Jerry Rice           1992    12
Paul Warfield        1971    12
Mel Gray             1978    11
Ricky Sanders        1991    11

The way I see it, this is just one more minor mark against Conway, who I think has to be the player least likely to match his 2001 numbers in 2002. Curtis has always been a pretty good rusher for a WR, but does anyone expect him to get 116 rushing yards (on the strength of 16.6 yards per rush) and a TD next year? In his previous eight seasons, he averaged 36 rushing yards and no TDs. Assuming he goes back to that level, he's lost 14 fantasy points before we even start talking about whether he can repeat his near-career-best receiving numbers.

But Conway doesn't have to repeat his 2001 numbers to represent good value. He was #12 last year among WRs and as of this writing (mid-July), the consensus has him ranked around #30 for this year. He'll probably be a bit lower than that on my board, but not much.