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Garrison Hearst


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Garrison Hearst career statistics


Last year, Hearst had 1553 yards and 5 TDs. If you use my usual formula to convert that to fantasy points, you get 185.3. But in a lot of leagues, Garrison didn't get credited with 185.3 fantasy points. Because of the traditional fantasy football policies of awarding 1 point per 10 yards (rather than .1 points per 1 yard) and treating rushing and receiving yards separately (rather than throwing it all into one pile called "total yards"), Hearst was only credited with 170 points under many scoring systems.

That's 15.3 points worth of "leakage" for Hearst. That is, he gained 153 yards last year that he got no credit for. Only 6 players had more leakage.


                  --- fantasy points ---
Name                Estimated   Actual    "Leakage"
---------------------------------------------------
Charlie Garner         159.7      143       16.7  
Rich Gannon            323.2      307       16.2  
Aaron Brooks           285.1      269       16.1  
Curtis Martin          250.0      234       16.0  
Jay Fiedler            250.7      235       15.7  
Donovan McNabb         303.5      288       15.5  
Garrison Hearst        185.3      170       15.3  
Ahman Green            264.1      249       15.1  
Shaun Alexander        262.1      247       15.1  
Peyton Manning         291.9      277       14.9  
Steve McNair           295.4      281       14.4  
Michael Pittman        141.0      127       14.0  
Doug Flutie            199.8      186       13.8  
Ricky Williams         217.6      204       13.6  
Jake Plummer           228.4      215       13.4  
Dorsey Levens           38.4       25       13.4  
Corey Dillon           229.3      216       13.3  
LaDainian Tomlinson    220.3      207       13.3  
Brad Johnson           211.2      198       13.2  
Trent Green            197.2      184       13.2  
Jamel White            122.1      109       13.1  
Cory Schlesinger        80.0       67       13.0  
Eddie George           151.8      139       12.8  
Brian Griese           216.8      204       12.8  
Stephen Davis          193.7      181       12.7  
Marshall Faulk         340.7      328       12.7  
James Allen             79.2       67       12.2  
Kurt Warner            349.2      337       12.2  
Mike Alstott           157.1      145       12.1  
Troy Brown             159.0      147       12.0  
Jeff Garcia            352.9      341       11.9  
Mark Brunell           235.8      224       11.8  
Lamont Warren           73.7       62       11.7  
Elvis Joseph            59.7       48       11.7  
Tony Banks             152.6      141       11.6  
Hines Ward             132.6      121       11.6  
Tim Couch              172.4      161       11.4  
Travis Minor            72.4       61       11.4  
Stacey Mack            164.2      153       11.2  
Tiki Barber            168.2      157       11.2  
Peerless Price         141.2      130       11.2  
Brandon Bennett         38.2       27       11.2  
Curtis Conway          166.1      155       11.1  
Thomas Jones            83.1       72       11.1  
Troy Hambrick           76.1       65       11.1  
Terrell Fletcher        29.1       18       11.1  
Kordell Stewart        259.1      248       11.1  
Chris Weinke           175.0      164       11.0  
Larry Centers          102.0       91       11.0  
Doug Chapman            39.0       28       11.0  
Kevan Barlow           105.9       95       10.9  
Isaac Bruce            148.9      138       10.9  
Priest Holmes          276.9      266       10.9  
Dominic Rhodes         186.8      176       10.8  
Travis Henry           114.8      104       10.8  
Marc Edwards            48.7       38       10.7  
Kerry Collins          223.7      213       10.7  
Richard Huntley         94.6       84       10.6  
Michael Wiley           40.6       30       10.6  
Bob Christian           91.6       81       10.6  
Brett Favre            315.4      305       10.4  
Warrick Dunn           136.4      126       10.4  
Richie Anderson         47.4       37       10.4  
James McKnight          90.3       80       10.3  
Chris Chandler         176.3      166       10.3  
Randy Moss             188.3      178       10.3  
Lamar Smith            168.2      158       10.2  
Anthony Thomas         178.1      168       10.1  
Maurice Smith          135.0      125       10.0  

When you think about it, Garner's appearance at the top should be expected. Because TDs don't get rounded, yardage-heavy guys are going to have more leakage than TD-heavy players. And because both rushing and receiving get rounded, versatile players are going to suffer more leakage than one-dimensional guys. So the top of the list is populated with versatile, yardage heavy RBs like Garner and running QBs like Gannon.

There's also some dumb luck involved. Rod Smith, for example, had only about 6 points worth of leakage. His receiving yard totals just happened to end with 0s and 1s and 2s more often than they ended with high numbers.