Hi Folks,
Here's our look at the Passing Matchups for this week.
PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The Cheatsheet rankings
are the final say on where we see a player for that week. The Matchup Breakdowns
are simply one more tool in the box when it comes to helping choose your lineup.
Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT
mean he's not a starter in your league. If Peyton Manning is playing the toughest
pass defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough matchup that week.
He's also your starter unless you're loaded at QB. In the same way, if the worst
QB on your roster has a "great" matchup that week, it doesn't necessarily
mean he's your starter. It means we think he'll fare better than normal that
week.
Bottom line is that the cheatsheets are the final say.
Let's jump to it.
Joe
Arizona, Atlanta, Buffalo, Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit, Houston, Jacksonville,
Miami, New Orleans, N.Y. Giants, N.Y. Jets, Oakland, Pittsburgh, San Diego,
San Francisco, Tampa Bay and Washington have been eliminated from playoff contention.
Notes: Due to the Christmas Holidays, the injury information in the matchups
this week is based on the Footballguys Monday injury report. The report details
- the players who missed playing in games last week due to injury (and any
new suspension)
- players who were injured in the games last week.
Players who played through their injuries last week are not generally included
in the write-up. Refer to the official NFL injury report later in the week for
the most up-to-date injury information (we supply it on our web-site as it becomes
available, and also e-mail it out to our subscribers).
Carolina's Passing Attack vs. The New York Giants' Defense
(Great Matchup)
Jake Delhomme had fun picking apart the Lions last week, with 29/35 for 260
yards, 2 TD' s and 1 interception. Two weeks ago, he hit 20/32 for 236 yards,
1 TD and 1 interception against the Arizona Cardinals - those are some good
numbers, but the opposition was from the bottom tier of pass D's in the NFL.
However, there is good news for the Panthers this week: they face another bottom-tier
pass D in the New York Giants. Steve Smith is a fantasy star, with 21/246/1
receiving over the past 3 games (15th ranked fantasy WR during that span).
How bad have things become for the Giants? Quincy Carter looked like Troy Aikman
against them last week, slinging 17/25 for 240 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions.
28/39 for 315 yards, 5 TDs and 0 interceptions was the abuse that New Orleans
heaped upon the Giants two weeks ago. They are 22nd in the league (and sinking
fast) averaging 218.1 passing yards allowed per game, and have coughed up 23
passing scores to date.
The latest casualty from the Giants' secondary is backup DE Kato Serwanga (knee/hip)
- he couldn't play in the game last week. The Panthers receiving corps is in
good shape.
The forecast for Giants Stadium calls for a high of 42F and a low of 30F, with
a 10% chance of precipitation. It sounds like a nice, clear day to play football
is on tap.
The Giants are too injury-riddled in the secondary to stop anybody right now
- advantage, Carolina.
Indianapolis' Passing Attack vs. The Houston Defense (Great
Matchup)
Peyton Manning had a power-outage last week, with 12/23 for 146 yards, 0 TDs
and 0 interceptions against the visiting Broncos. Marvin Harrison and Marcus
Pollard were the primary receivers on the day, with 6/85/0 and 4/55/0, respectively.
It was an atypically poor game. Manning has 59/87 for 664 yards, 5 TDs and 0
interceptions to his credit in the last 3 games (12th best fantasy QB during
that span), and Marvin Harrison is the 3rd best fantasy WR during that span
(23/326/2 receiving) - don't let one bad game panic you away from the Colts'
stars. The last time Manning faced the Texans, in week 8, he was a Texan-killer,
tossing 22/30 for 269 yards, 3 TD' s and 0 interceptions - Marvin Harrison led
the way with 8/100/0, but Reggie Wayne was close behind with 6/96/2.
Houston allowed 17/36 for 268 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception to the Titans
last week, and 17/28 for 237 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions to Brad Johnson
and the Buccaneers two weeks ago. They are 31st in the NFL this season, averaging
233.4 passing yards surrendered per game, and have allowed 21 passing scores
to date. They are 31st in the league with a mere 18 sacks. Not too good, folks.
Starting CB Kenny Wright tore his PCL in the game last season - he's out. TE
Dallas Clark remains sidelined due to a broken leg.
The forecast for Reliant Stadium calls for a high of 70F and a low of 43F,
with a 60% chance of precipitation. As the stadium has a retractable-roof, we
assume that it will be closed should the weather be too inclement come game
time.
Peyton Manning had an off week last week, but he has owned the Texans in 2003
and has a powerful supporting cast behind him - all focused on securing their
best place in the playoffs. Advantage, Indianapolis.
Minnesota's Passing Attack vs. The Arizona Defense (Great
Matchup)
Minnesota comes into this game needing a win to protect the NFC North title
from the Packers. Daunte Culpepper has been doing his part to make the Vikings
a playoff team, with 20/29 for 260 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception last week
against the Chiefs, and 24/34 for 222 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception against
the Bears two weeks ago. Randy Moss is, as ever, his go-to guy, racking up 7/111/2
receiving last week in the points-fest against KC. With 65/96 for 756 yards,
7 TDs and 2 interceptions passing (12/39/0 rushing) in the last 3 games, Culpepper
is the 7th ranked fantasy QB in FP per game.
Arizona's pass D allowed 19/27 for 190 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions to
the Seahawks last week, and 20/32 for 236 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to
the Panthers two weeks ago. They are 28th in the NFL allowing an average of
226.5 passing yards per game, with 28 passing scores surrendered to date (next-to-last
in the NFL). They are 30th in the league with only 20 sacks, and near the bottom
with only 12 interceptions (although they have been generating turnovers recently).
This is a soft pass D, folks.
Both teams come into the game relatively healthy, with no major new injuries
to report.
The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 57F and a low of 37F,
with a 10% chance of precipitation. It sounds like a nice, clear day to play
football is on tap.
The Vikings are a high-octane aerial assault, while the Cardinals are a cellar-dwelling
D. This is a sweet matchup for the Vikings.
St. Louis' Passing Attack vs. The Detroit Defense (Great
Matchup)
Marc Bulger has been steadily productive in recent weeks with 24/38 for 229
yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception against the Bengals last week (without Isaac
Bruce on the field), and 20/32 for 236 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception two weeks
ago against Seattle. Not surprisingly, Torry Holt has been "the Man"
during that span, with 10/124/1 last week and 6/100/1 two weeks ago. Holt is
red-hot in the recent going.
Detroit has recently given up 25/32 for 372 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions
to the Chiefs two weeks ago, and 29/35 for 260 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception
to Jake Delhomme last week. They are 30th in the NFL allowing an average of
228.3 passing yards per game, and have coughed up 25 passing scores to date.
They are pretty horrible at pass D in 2003.
St. Louis is crossing their fingers that Isaac Bruce can make it back for the
game (he was questionable last week). What's left of Detroit's secondary has
no major new complaints, although several guys have nagging injuries at this
point.
This game is to be played in a dome, so weather isn't a factor.
The Rams are licking their chops, ready to feast on Detroit and thus secure
their position as one of the top teams in the NFC Playoffs.
Cleveland's Passing Attack vs. The Cincinnati Defense (Good
Matchup)
Tim Couch couldn't do much against the Ravens last week, with 17/33 for 163
yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception to his credit. Two weeks ago, vs. Denver, he
put up 8/18 for 181 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception. It's a rare week that Couch
goes above 200 yards passing (he's done it twice, in week 4 and week 5 this
season), and 2 TDs in a game has been the ceiling this year. Ho Hum. One of
those 200+ yard games came against this Bengals' club, though, back in week
4: 23/36 for 280 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception.
Marc Bulger touched the Bengals for 24/38 for 229 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception
last week, while Jeff Garcia bombed them for 26/33 for 344 yards, 2 TDs and
0 interceptions two weeks ago. The Bengals rank as the 23rd pass D this season,
allowing 219.1 passing yards per game, and have surrendered 23 passing scores
to date. This unit has been very poor in the last two games.
Both teams come into this matchup in decent health, with no new injuries of
note.
The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium calls for a high of 57F and a low of 38F,
with a 30% chance of precipitation. If the rain comes down hard around game
time, the field will be slick and ball handling could become an issue.
Cincinnati has been soft in this phase most of the year, and Tim Couch had
good luck against them earlier in 2003 - Cleveland has the edge in this matchup.
Denver's Passing Attack vs. The Green Bay Defense (Good
Matchup)
Jake Plummer has been steadily productive in his past two games, with 14/17
for 238 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception last week against the Colts (6/22/2 rushing
as icing on top). Two weeks ago, he hit 22/36 for 269 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception
against the Browns (with 1/23/0 rushing). Ashley Lelie finally broke out of
the doldrums with 5/115/0 receiving, and Rod Smith snagged the TD last week
with 4/42/1. In his last 3 games, Plummer has tossed 56/82 for 745 yards, 2
TDs and 2 interceptions.
Green Bay smothered the flaccid Raiders last week (22/41 for 223 yards, 0 TDs
and 2 interceptions), but were hit hard by Drew Brees two weeks ago (28/48 for
363 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception). This year, the Packers are in the lower
half of the NFL at pass D, allowing an average of 219.9 passing yards per game
(24th in the NFL) and they have given up 18 passing scores to date.
Both units come into the game in good health.
The forecast for Lambeau Field calls for a high of 44F and a low of 23F, with
a 40% chance of precipitation. If it's really coming down hard at game time,
the field may get slick (depending on if the moisture falls as rain, sleet or
snow) and ball handling will become more of an issue.
Jake Plummer has been accurate and efficient in recent games, while the Packers
have run hot and cold lately, and haven't been very good all year. Advantage,
Denver.
Green Bay's Passing Attack vs. The Denver Defense (Good
Matchup)
Brett Favre has been on fire in the last two games, with a phenomenal 22/30
for 399 yards, 4 TD and 0 interception performance on Monday Night Football
last week - following up a 23/33 for 278 yards, 4 TD and 1 interception performance
against the Chargers two weeks ago. The guy hit 12 different receivers last
week, led by Javon Walker (4/124/2), Robert Ferguson (3/85/0) and Donald Driver
(3/78/0). TE's Wesley Walls (1/22/1) and David Martin (2/4/1) accounted for
his other TDs. Favre is white hot heading into this game.
Denver was rough on Peyton Manning last week, holding the all-pro to 12/23
for 146 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions. Two weeks ago, Tim Couch managed 8/18
for 181 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception against the Broncos. They are currently
the 8th ranked secondary in the land, with 181.6 passing yards per game allowed,
and 16 passing scores surrendered to date.
Denver got extraordinarily bad news after the Indianapolis game - starting
FS Nick Ferguson is lost for the rest of the playoff run due to a broken left
wrist (surgery to repair the joint was required) and starting CB Kelly Herndon
broke two fingers on his left hand - he's almost surely out for the Green Bay
game, and will play in a cast throughout the playoffs. Losing half your starters
in the secondary: just what you need when facing a white-hot Brett Favre. Green
Bay emerged from the Monday Night game in good health.
The forecast for Lambeau Field calls for a high of 44F and a low of 23F, with
a 40% chance of precipitation. If it's really coming down hard at game time,
the field may get slick (depending on if the moisture falls as rain, sleet or
snow) and ball handling will become more of an issue.
The injuries in Denver's secondary, combined with the Packers home-field advantage
and the momentum Favre has built up will be too much for the Broncos this week
- advantage, Green Bay.
Kansas City's Passing Attack vs. The Chicago Defense (Good
Matchup)
Trent Green and the Chiefs have been on a see-saw in this phase of the game
in recent weeks, with a poor 18/38 for 224 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions
effort against the Vikings last week, but an explosive 20/25 for 341 yards,
3 TDs and 0 interceptions game vs. Detroit two weeks ago. His 72/110 for 962
yards, 4 TDs and 2 interceptions (with 2/15/1 rushing) during the past 3 weeks
ranks Green as the 6th best fantasy QB during that span of time. Eddie Kennison
(5/89/0), Tony Gonzalez (5/65/0) and Priest Holmes (5/50/0) were his top 3 targets
in the Minnesota game last week.
Chicago's secondary is one of the better units in the land, with an average
of 192.5 passing yards allowed per game to rank 11th in the NFL (19 scores given
away to date). Daunte Culpepper managed 24/34 for 222 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception
against them two weeks ago, while Tim Hasselbeck tossed 16/25 for 209 yards,
2 TDs and 0 interceptions last week. One thing the Bears do not do well: rush
the passer. They are dead last in the NFL with only 17 sacks this season.
DB Mike Green (groin) missed the game last week for Chicago. KC's squad is
in good health for this stage of the season, although reserve WR Marc Boerigter
missed the game last week with an injured ankle.
The forecast for Arrowhead Stadium calls for a high of 47F and a low of 26F,
with a 20% chance for precipitation. As long as the prairie winds don't get
too gusty, it should be a fine afternoon to toss the ball around.
Kansas City is on their home turf and battling for playoff position: the Bears
are playing the spoiler roll well in recent weeks. Look for Green to have some
opportunities to make good things happen on Sunday, but this is not a great
matchup for him - merely a good one.
Oakland's Passing Attack vs. The San Diego Defense (Good
Matchup)
This following list of names will tell you how bad things got vs. Green Bay
on Monday Night Football last week: Rick Mirer, Rob Johnson, Tee Martin - all
3 played QB for the Raiders during the game. Tee Martin had the best completion
percentage (4/5 for 55 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions), and was the only Raider
QB not to throw an interception. Martin passed for one more yard than Johnson
(6/13 for 54 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception). Rick Mirer started the game and
left with 12/23 for 114 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception. The Raiders lost, 41-7.
No word on whether Martin will get the start this week (just joking). Back in
week 4, Gannon was under center - it seems like an eternity to the Raiders,
and makes all comparisons with week 17 nonsensical.
San Diego has allowed: 23/33 for 278 yards, 4 TDs and 1 interception to Brett
Favre two weeks ago, and 11/18 for 160 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions to Tommy
Maddox last week. They have given up, by far, the most passing TDs in the NFL
this season - 36 to date - and are ranked 27th in the league allowing an average
of 225.0 passing yards per contest. They are so bad, the English language cannot
describe the depths of their failure.
DB Terrence Kiel (shoulder) was injured in the game last week. The Raiders'
current group of starters report no new injuries of note, although Jerry Porter
was unable to go at game-time last week due to a right calf injury he acquired
in practice a day earlier.
The forecast for Qualcomm Stadium calls for a high of 60F and a low of 43F,
with a 20% chance of precipitation. Ah, sunny Southern California.
The Raiders have a terrible passing game, but the Chargers are even worse at
pass D. Advantage, Oakland.
Tampa Bay's Passing Attack vs. The Tennessee Defense (Good
Matchup)
Brad Johnson had a tale of 2 halves last week, with a horrible first 30 minutes
and then a stellar second 30 - he ended up with 34/48 for 346 yards, 4 TDs and
4 interceptions when all was said and done. Charles Lee caught 10/88/0, Keenan
McCardell racked up 6/122/1, and Michael Pittman accounted for 9/85/0. Jameel
Cook and Ricky Dudley accounted for the other 2 scores. Johnson has thrown 71/110
for 796 yards, 6 TDs and 5 interceptions in the last 3 games, making him the
11th best fantasy QB during that span.
Tennessee's secondary is pretty soft, averaging 228.1 passing yards allowed
per game this season (29th in the NFL), and they have given up 19 passing scores
to date. 17/34 for 242 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions was David Carr's tally
last week; Drew Bledsoe managed 17/30 for 168 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions
against them 2 weeks ago. They just aren't very good.
Reserve DB Andre Woolfolk (ankle) continues to be sidelined for the Titans.
Tampa Bay enjoys decent health among their surviving starters.
The forecast for the Coliseum calls for a high of 61F and a low of 39F, with
a 30% chance for precipitation. If the rain comes down hard at game time, the
field will get sloppy and ball handling becomes more of an issue.
Brad Johnson is a solid QB, and Tennessee is soft, soft, soft. Advantage, Tampa
Bay.
Arizona's Passing Attack vs. The Minnesota Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Josh McCown was solid week against the Seahawks, with 25/40 for 274 yards,
1 TD and 0 interceptions in the game. Two weeks ago, the Panthers limited him
to 14/25 for 172 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception. Among the receivers, there
is Anquan Boldin (10/122/1 last week, and 7/73/0 the week before) and then everyone
else - Boldin is "the Man" on this squad. With 26/318/2 receiving
in his past 3 games, Boldin is the 4th ranked fantasy WR in the land during
that time frame.
The Vikings frustrated Trent Green last week, limiting him to 18/38 for 224
yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions; two weeks ago, Rex Grossman hit 13/30 for
157 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions in his try. For most of the season, the
Vikings have been very easy to pass on, ranking 26th in the NFL averaging 221.5
passing yards allowed per game, with 15 scores given away.
Minnesota's starting CB Ken Irvin sprained his right knee last week, but is
expected to play as usual. Arizona comes into this game without significant
new injuries to report on their squad.
The forecast for Sun Devil Stadium calls for a high of 57F and a low of 37F,
with a 10% chance of precipitation. It sounds like a nice, clear day to play
football is on tap.
McCown doesn't usually light up a scoreboard, while the Vikings were very soft
earlier in the season but seem to be hitting their stride in this phase of the
game - at the Cardinal's house (even if only 20,000 fans show up - at least
it's not the Metrodome) we'll call it even.
Atlanta's Passing Attack vs. The Jacksonville Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Michael Vick has been less than stellar in this phase of the game, with a mere
8/15 for 119 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions last week (vs. Tampa), and a disappointing
6/19 for 47 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception the week before (vs. Indianapolis).
However, the 2 TDs last week (1 to Brian Finneran, 1 to Alge Crumpler) were
encouraging for Falcons' fans. He has a long way to go before he's back on top
of his game, though.
Jacksonville's pass D is mediocre in 2003 - they average 204.9 passing yards
allowed per game (18th in the league) with 21 passing scores surrendered to
date. Two weeks ago, Tom Brady hit for 22/34 for 228 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions
against them. Last week, it was Aaron Brooks tossing 22/38 for 296 yards, 2
TDs and 0 interceptions. The Jags don't mount much of a pass rush, either, with
only 23 sacks this season (28th in the NFL). They are not a scary bunch, that's
for sure.
Jacksonville placed DB Jason Craft on IR last week (knee). Atlanta comes into
this game with a full complement of mostly-healthy receivers.
This game is being played in the Georgia Dome - weather isn't an issue.
Even though this is a "pride" game (both teams are eliminated from
contention for the playoffs), don't expect either unit to lay down for the other.
Vick has struggled in this phase of the game, and the Jags are pretty easy -
this looks like an even matchup to us.
Baltimore's Passing Game vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
This is a huge game for the Ravens, who are one game ahead of the Bengals -
but they could still lose the division and be out of the playoffs if they lose
to the Steelers and the Bengals beat the Browns.
The Ravens have been relying on the running game a lot in recent weeks, and
didn't need to pass much at all in the dominating shut-out win over Cleveland
last week (11/19 for 100 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception as a team). Anthony
Wright has thrown for 30/64 for 428 yards, 3 TDs and 4 interceptions in his
last 3 games, while Jamal Lewis has 76/510/5 TDs rushing during that span. Wright's
favorite targets lately have been Travis Taylor (20 targets for 6/143/0) and
Todd Heap (18 for 8/121/1) - he tossed 10 balls to Marcus Robinson in that span
(7/71/1). The last time these teams met, Wright was #3 on the depth chart, so
recent history won't tell us much about this matchup.
Pittsburgh allowed 16/26 for 198 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions to the Charger's
Drew Brees last week, and held Chad Pennington to 15/25 for 144 yards, 0 TDs
and 0 interceptions two weeks ago. They currently rank 12th in the NFL allowing
an average of 192.7 passing yards per contest, with 20 TDs surrendered to date
- they have been pretty tough in recent games.
Baltimore's backup TE John Jones injured his quadriceps in the game last week.
Pittsburgh is in good health on their unit.
The forecast for M&T Bank Stadium calls for a high of 49F and a low of
36F, with a 20% chance of precipitation.
Baltimore's passing attack is not flashy, while Pittsburgh plays stout pass
D, and have been stout in recent weeks - home field advantage helps level the
playing field in this one, which looks pretty even to us.
Chicago's Passing Attack vs. The Kansas City Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Rex Grossman has been very impressive in his two starts, with 13/30 for 157
yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions in his first NFL game, and 19/32 for 249 yards,
2 TDs and 1 interception in the victory over Washington last week. Marty Booker
(4/80/1) and Justin Gage (4/42/1) were his favorite targets last week - 9 players
in all caught passes from Grossman. He looks pretty good - just be aware that
he is very inexperienced and is bound to run into trouble sometime.
Kansas City has a mediocre pass D, allowing an average of 213.7 passing yards
per game, with 19 scores surrendered in this phase to date. Daunte Culpepper
torched them for 20/29 for 260 yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception last week. Joey
Harrington and his sparse receiving stable managed 20/36 for 197 yards, 1 TD
and 1 interception two weeks ago. One thing the Chiefs do well in this phase
is force turnovers - they have 23 interceptions to date, tied for 2nd in the
NFL.
Both teams enjoy relatively good health among their starting units - injuries
aren't a huge issue before the fact.
The forecast for Arrowhead Stadium calls for a high of 47F and a low of 26F,
with a 20% chance for precipitation. As long as the prairie winds don't get
too gusty, it should be a fine afternoon to toss the ball around.
Arrowhead Stadium is a tough place to visit, and the Chiefs are ball-hawkers,
if nothing else. Grossman has been steady-but-not-stellar, and is very inexperienced.
If Grossman had more games under his belt, this would be a decent matchup for
him, but right now we think it's fairly even.
Cincinnati's Passing Attack vs. The Cleveland Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
16/29 for 202 yards, 1 TD and 3 interceptions was Jon Kitna's total when the
day was through last week - he absolutely killed his team with turnovers last
week. Chad Johnson was the featured pass receiver, catching 7/115/0 on the day.
Two weeks ago, in the shootout with San Francisco, Kitna hit 18/25 for 189 yards,
2 TDs and 0 interceptions - when he limits his mistakes, the team tends to win.
He did so in the last game against the Browns, throwing 23/31 for 215 yards,
3 TDs and 0 interceptions (and Cincinnati won, 21-14).
Cleveland's pass D has been OK statistically in the past few games, because
they have been absolutely trampled in the rushing phase by Baltimore and Denver.
Baltimore only needed 11/19 for 100 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in their
35-0 victory, while Denver put up 22/36 for 269 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception
in their game two weeks ago. This is a normally stout unit, though, ranking
5th in the NFL allowing an average of 179.3 passing yards per game (with 13
passing scores surrendered to date).
Cleveland's CB Anthony Henry has a bum knee, and probably won't make it onto
the field this week. WR Peter Warrick missed the game last week rehabbing his
scoped knee - the Bengals have their fingers crossed that he can play effectively
this week.
The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium calls for a high of 57F and a low of 38F,
with a 30% chance of precipitation. If the rain comes down hard around game
time, the field will be slick and ball handling could become an issue.
Cleveland didn't hold up against the Bengals the first time around, and this
time they are facing a team with playoff aspirations in their own house. Warrick's
injury is the wild-card here - if he can go, this is a good matchup. As things
stand, we call it fairly even, given recent history and home-field advantage
for the Bengals.
Jacksonville's Passing Attack vs. The Atlanta Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Byron Leftwich has been throwing quite a few interceptions lately (4 in his
last two games), and has been up and down in the yardage department: against
the Patriots, he tossed 21/40 for 288 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions, while
last week against the Saints his numbers were 9/17 for 131 yards, 1 TD and 2
interceptions. Jimmy Smith has been pretty quiet in those contests, with 2/73/0
against the Patriots and 2/16/0 vs. New Orleans. During the past 3 weeks, Leftwich
is the 22nd ranked fantasy QB in the land, with 48/86 for 613 yards, 3 TDs and
4 interceptions to his credit.
Atlanta was rocked by Peyton Manning to the tune of 25/30 for 290 yards, 5
TDs and 0 interceptions two weeks ago. Last week, they looked good in the first
half against Brad Johnson (with 4 picks on the day, 1 returned by Juran Bolden
for a score), but horrible in the second half, allowing 3 passing scores in
the 4th quarter that almost lost the game for their team - Johnson ended up
with 34/48 for 346 yards, 4 TDs and 4 interceptions on the day. They are dead
last in the league allowing 242.5 passing yards per contest, and have given
away 27 passing scores (3rd-most in the NFL). With Juran Bolden in the lineup,
they are less vulnerable - but not by much.
Both teams come into the game in decent health, without major new injuries
to report.
This game is being played in the Georgia Dome - weather isn't an issue.
Even though this is a "pride" game (both teams are eliminated from
contention for the playoffs), don't expect either unit to lay down for the other.
Atlanta is soft in this phase, while Leftwich is going through the NFL learning
curve (and he hasn't been careful with the ball in recent games). This looks
like a pretty even matchup on Atlanta's home turf.
New England's Passing Attack vs. The Buffalo Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Tom Brady has been really efficient with his passes lately, and has scored
2 TDs in each of his past two games (15/25 for 138 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions
vs. the Jets last week, and 22/34 for 228 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions vs.
the Jags two weeks ago. Daniel Graham (19 targets for 12/97/1), David Givens
(17 targets for 11/143/2) and Deion Branch (17 targets for 9/133/0) have been
his top guys during those three weeks - remember, though, Troy Brown is back
in the lineup now. Tom Brady had a horrible game against the Bills back in week
1 (14/29 for 123 yards, 0 TDs and 4 interceptions), but the Patriots are 13-1
since that point and the Bills are 5-9.
Buffalo's normally stout secondary has been up and down in recent weeks, allowing
a surprising 26/41 for 295 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions to the Titans' Billy
Volek two weeks ago, but they crushed Jay Fiedlers' Dolphins to the tune of
8/17 for 46 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in the game last week. One thing
that the secondary hasn't been good at this season: causing turnovers - the
Bills are tied for second-least in the NFL in interceptions (10). They are the
3rd ranked pass D in the league in terms of yards allowed per game, with 167.8
per contest on average, and have allowed 14 passing scores to date.
WR Troy Brown is back in action for the Patriots - Buffalo enjoys good health
in their secondary. Injuries aren't a huge factor in this one.
The forecast for Gillette Stadium calls for a high of 30F and a low of 24F,
with a 10% chance for precipitation. It should be a crisp, clear day for a football
game.
Brady and company are hitting on all cylinders, and the Bills are just playing
out the string - but they do sport a top secondary. At home in Gillette Stadium,
the home-field advantage levels the playing field for New England - this is
an even matchup.
Philadelphia's Passing Attack vs. The Washington Defense
(Neutral Matchup)
Donovan McNabb couldn't get the job done against the 49'ers last week, with
17/27 for 238 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions to his credit. Todd Pinkston had
the first "breakout" game of the season for an Eagles' WR, with 5/121/1
in the loss - but his compatriots were downright disappointing (Freddie Mitchell
grabbed 2/23/0, James Thrash had 1/13/0). With 51/89 for 722 yards, 4 passing
TDs and 3 interceptions to his credit in the last 3 games, McNabb ranks as the
10th-ranked fantasy QB during that span. Back in week 5, McNabb was limited
against the Redskins, with 16/30 for 157 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions to
his credit.
Washington allowed 19/32 for 249 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception to rookie
Rex Grossman last week; 10/24 for 109 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions was what
Quincy Carter managed two weeks ago. The Redskins are right in the middle of
the NFL pack in this phase, allowing an average of 196.4 passing yards per game
(15th in the NFL) and 20 passing scores to date. They have bounced around that
average in recent weeks - they are a what-you-see-is-what-you-get bunch in 2003.
CB Champ Bailey was concussed and suffered a face laceration when he was kicked
in the head last week. DB Ifeanyi Ohalete sprained a knee and an ankle in the
game last week, while backup DB David Terrell (knee) missed the game and was
listed as doubtful to play. TE L.J. Smith missed the game last week for the
Eagles, with groin and back injuries - he'll likely sit this one out, too.
The forecast for Fed Ex Field calls for a high of 49F and a low of 29F, with
a 10% chance for precipitation. It should be a decent day for a football game.
Philadelphia is unexciting in this phase of the game lately, while the Redskins
sport a mediocre pass D - this looks like an even matchup to us.
San Diego's Passing Attack vs. The Oakland Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Misery loves company. The Chargers would love to hang a "L" on their
division rivals, and put a "W" in their column, so that both teams
would end the season at 4-12. Better quarterback play would help them attain
their goal: Drew Brees went 16/26 for 198 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions before
being yanked for Doug Flutie (5/10 for 42 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions).
After the game, coach Schottenheimer said that he wouldn't tolerate turning
the ball over from anyone (Brees was incensed about getting the hook, and confronted
the coach on the sidelines about it). Word out of San Diego is that Brees will
remain in the starting job this week, and stay in to play as long as he emphasizes
ball security. Anyway, the top receiver last week was WR Kassim Osgood, with
4/102/1 - TE Antonio Gates was second with 5/64/0. Osgood has come on in recent
games, with 2/46/0 to his credit two weeks ago against the Packers. Back in
week 4, Brees tossed 21/31 for 187 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception against the
Raiders.
Brett Favre sliced, diced and fried the Raiders last week, with 22/30 for 399
yards, 4 TDs and 0 interceptions. He had over 300 yards passing going into the
locker room at half-time. RCB Phillip Buchanon was the most-victimized member
of the secondary last week, giving up tons of yards and 3 TDs to Favre before
being benched at half-time.
Anthony Wright was not nearly as spectacular two weeks ago, with 12/27 for
193 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in the Baltimore loss. The Raiders are 25th
in the league this season, allowing 221.3 passing yards per game on average,
and they have coughed up 20 passing scores to date.
TE Antonio Gates injured his ankle in the game last week. Oakland's remaining
players in the secondary are in decent health.
The forecast for Qualcomm Stadium calls for a high of 60F and a low of 43F,
with a 20% chance of precipitation. Ah, sunny Southern California.
Brees is struggling, the Raiders are struggling: everyone is struggling. This
is an ugly but even matchup.
San Francisco's Passing Attack vs. The Seattle Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
15/29 for 225 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions was Jeff Garcia's total from
last week - he led his team to an upset victory over the playoff bound Eagles.
7 different players caught passes in the game, with the top guy being TE Jed
Weaver (3/61/0). However, the team lost star WR Terrell Owens for the season
finale (broken collarbone), so they come into this game weakened at the WR position.
Garcia has been the top fantasy QB over the past 3 games, with 60/90 for 821
yards, 8 TDs and 0 interceptions, and 14/103/3 rushing - he's too hot to sit,
even without Owens in the lineup. Back in week 6, Garcia had limited success
against the Seahawks, with 16/27 for 168 yards, 0 TD' s and 0 interceptions
to his credit.
Seattle's Pass D was effective against Josh McCown last week, giving up a lot
of yards (274), but only 1 TD with 0 interceptions. 20/32 for 236 yards, 2 TDs
and 1 interception was Marc Bulger's total against the Seahawks two weeks ago.
Seattle has been soft in this phase of the game all year, allowing 216.6 passing
yards per game (21st in the NFL) and 22 passing scores to date. They are 6th
in the league with 38 sacks to date, but have managed a mediocre 15 interceptions
all year long.
Starting S Reggie Tongue missed the game last week due to his hamstring injury.
Aside from Owens' injury, the 49ers are in decent shape.
The forecast for 3 COM Park calls for a high of 54F and a low of 45F, with
a 10% chance for precipitation. Just about perfect football weather, in other
words.
With their #1 playmaker at WR sidelined, some other guys will have to do their
part this week. A history of futility vs. Seattle this season is behind Garcia,
but he has been so hot lately, that this looks like a neutral matchup for the
49'ers.
Tennessee's Passing Attack vs. The Tampa Bay Defense (Neutral
Matchup)
Titan's QB Steve McNair battles on through injury game after game - last week,
he put up 17/36 for 268 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception to lead the Titans to
yet another victory. Drew Bennett (5/84/1), Derrick Mason (4/44/0) and Justin
McCareins (2/84/0) accounted for the bulk of the passing yards, with TE Erron
Kinney (1/2/1) hauling in the other score. Over the past 3 weeks, McNair played
in 2 games, with 39/74 for 503 yards, 4 TDs and 1 interception (6/25/1 rushing
in those 2 games) - he's the 5th best fantasy QB in FP per game during that
3 week span.
Tampa Bay's pass D is second in the NFL this season, allowing 165.2 passing
yards per contest, with 14 scores surrendered to date. Michael Vick managed
8/19 for 118 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions against them last week, while
Dave Ragone eked out 9/17 for 64 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions against them
2 weeks ago. Tampa is also 9th in the NFL with 36 sacks to their credit (a mediocre
19 interceptions, though).
McNair still has his ankle and calf injuries (and will have them until after
post-season). Tampa's secondary is in good shape.
The forecast for the Coliseum calls for a high of 61F and a low of 39F, with
a 30% chance for precipitation. If the rain comes down hard at game time, the
field will get sloppy and ball handling becomes more of an issue.
McNair and company form a top unit, as are the Buccaneers. This looks like
a pretty even matchup to us, even with Tampa out of the playoff hunt.
Washington's Passing Attack vs. The Philadelphia Defense
(Neutral Matchup)
Tim Hasselbeck bounced back from his disastrous 6/26 for 56 yards, 0 TDs and
4 interceptions performance of two weeks ago to post 16/25 for 209 yards, 2
TDs and 0 interceptions against the Bears last week. Laveranues Coles was the
focus last week, with 7/94/2 to his credit, despite his sore foot. Patrick Ramsey
was the guy under center back in week 5, so recent history doesn't tell us much
about this game.
The Eagles were ripped for 15/29 for 225 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions by
Jeff Garcia last week, and allowed 21/40 for 240 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions
to Jay Fiedler two weeks ago. This season, they are the 16th ranked pass D in
the land, averaging 203.5 passing yards allowed per game, with 17 passing scores
given up to date. They've been up and down in recent weeks.
Part of the problem last week was that starting CB Troy Vincent (hip) missed
the San Francisco game. Reserve WR Taylor Jacobs (foot) missed the game last
week for the Redskins.
The forecast for Fed Ex Field calls for a high of 49F and a low of 29F, with
a 10% chance for precipitation. It should be a decent day for a football game.
Hasselbeck has been up and down in recent weeks, as have the Eagles. This looks
like an even matchup to us.
Dallas' Passing Attack vs. The New Orleans Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Quincy Carter has been uninspiring in recent weeks, with 17/25 for 240 yards,
1 TD and 0 interceptions against the very banged up Giants last week, and a
mere 10/24 for 108 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions vs. the Redskins two weeks
ago. He has racked up 42/73 for 441 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions in the
last 3 games (21st among all fantasy QBs during that span). At least he got
all 3 of his wide receivers into the act last week, with 5/64/0 to Terry Glenn,
1/64/0 to Joey Galloway, and 4/41/0 to Antonio Bryant - it was the first time
in many moons that all 3 guys caught at least one pass.
New Orleans' secondary is in the top ten this season, allowing 181.7 passing
yards per game (9th), while surrendering 19 passing scores to date. 9/17 for
131 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions was Byron Leftwich's tally last week. 15/26
for 140 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions was what Jesse Palmer managed two weeks
ago. One thing the Saints don't do well is generate turnovers - they have only
11 interceptions this season, 3rd-least in the NFL.
Both teams come into this game in good health.
This game is being played in the Superdome - weather won't be an issue.
Quincy Carter is solid but hasn't been posting great stats, and the Saints
are fairly stout. In the hostile Superdome, we give the nod to the Saints in
this matchup.
Houston's Passing Attack vs. The Indianapolis Defense (Tough
Matchup)
David Carr was respectable in his return to the lineup last week, with 17/34
for 242 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions to his credit against the soft Tennessee
Titans' secondary. Andre Johnson remains the big play-maker on this team, with
5/108/0 - Corey Bradford snagged the TD (3/36/1). In the last game against Indy,
Carr injured himself and was replaced by Tony Banks - Carr had 8/9 for 62 yards,
1 TD and 0 interceptions before leaving, so he was off to a promising start.
The Colts allowed 14/17 for 238 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to the Broncos
last week, one week after dominating the Falcons to the tune of 9/25 for 66
yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception. Normally, they are a top-ten unit, allowing
180.3 passing yards per game (6th in the NFL) while surrendering 18 passing
scores to date.
Indianapolis' starting SS Mike Doss sprained his left ankle last week, and
FS Idrees Bashir remained sidelined with his bum shoulder. Houston's unit enjoys
decent health, with no new injuries to worry about, although Carr continues
to nurse his shoulder.
The forecast for Reliant Stadium calls for a high of 70F and a low of 43F,
with a 60% chance of precipitation. As the stadium has a retractable-roof, we
assume that it will be closed should the weather be too inclement come game
time.
Indianapolis is tough in this phase of the game, and most weeks they put a
wet blanket on the opposition. With playoff seeding on the line, look for them
to play at the top of their game on Sunday. Advantage, Indianapolis.
Miami's Passing Attack vs. The New York Jets' Defense (Tough
Matchup)
This one is for pride, because both teams are out of the playoff race. Jay
Fiedler has struggled mightily in recent games, managing a mere 8/17 for 46
yards, 1 TD and 1 interception last week against the Bills, and tossing 21/40
for 240 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions two weeks ago against the Eagles. Chris
Chambers, with 10/141/1 receiving in the last 3 games, has been the best Miami
receiver in recent weeks - not too exciting. Fiedler's not been good lately.
Back in week 2, Fiedler threw for 14/19 for 190 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions
against the Jets' secondary.
16/38 for 137 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions was Tommy Maddox's tally against
the Jets. 15/25 for 138 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions was what Tom Brady
managed last week. The Jets sport the 7th ranked pass D in the land, allowing
an average of 180.6 passing yards per game (with 13 passing scores given away
to date). They've been playing pretty tough in this phase all year.
Fiedler is gamely playing through his gimpy knee - The Jets have no new injuries
of note to report.
The forecast for Pro Player Stadium calls for a high of 79F and a low of 61F,
with a 10% chance for precipitation. Sounds like great football weather is coming
to south Florida.
Fiedler hasn't been good lately, and the Jets have been stout. Advantage, Jets.
New Orleans' Passing Attack vs. The Dallas Defense (Tough
Matchup)
New Orleans' Aaron Brooks played well against the Jaguars last week, with 22/38
for 296 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions. He hit 7 different receivers, led
by Jerome Pathon (4/65/1), Deuce McAllister (6/63/0) and Boo Williams (5/54/1).
Joe Horn had a quiet game after the 4 TD monster two weeks ago (2/39/0). With
68/103 for 830 yards, 8 TDs and 0 interceptions to Brook's credit in the last
3 games (6/21/0 rushing), it's fair to say he's white hot (4th best fantasy
QB during that span).
Dallas has one of the toughest secondaries in the league, allowing a mere 159.9
passing yards per game on average (1st), while giving up 17 passing scores to
date. 18/32 for 190 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions was what the Giants managed
last week. 7/27 for 59 yards, 0 TDs and 4 interceptions was the Redskins' total
two weeks ago. The Cowboys just flat-out dominate in this phase of the game.
A big hit to the Saints came out this week - Joe Horn suffered a separated
shoulder in the game on Sunday, and is out for the season finale. He won't require
surgery to repair the damage, according to coach Haslett. Dallas is in fine
shape in this phase of the game.
This game is being played in the Superdome - weather won't be an issue.
Brooks runs hot and cold, but has been hot lately. Dallas fields a very steady,
top defense. With Joe Horn sidelined, an important weapon is gone from Brook's
tool-box. The advantage goes to Dallas in this one.
New York Giants' Passing Attack vs. The Carolina Defense
(Tough Matchup)
18/32 for 190 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions - Jesse Palmer's numbers from
last week. 15/26 for 140 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions - his numbers from
two weeks ago (his first NFL start). When you are playing without your #2 WR,
without your #1 or #2 TE, behind a patchwork line that leaks sacks like a sieve
(42, 3rd most in the NFL) - those are outstanding numbers for a wet-behind the
ears youngster like Palmer, given his circumstances. Unfortunately, they have
generated a total of 6 points in two games for his team - losses of 45-7 and
19-3.
Detroit embarrassed themselves against the Panthers last week, with 7/19 for
53 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception. Josh McCown had a little better luck two
weeks ago, with 14/25 for 172 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception - basically, the
Panthers dominated both teams. On the season, the Panthers are the 13th ranked
pass D in the land, allowing 193.7 passing yards per game, with 17 scores surrendered
to date. There's no denying they have played very well in this phase during
recent games - but Harrington, McMahon and McCown are hardly among the luminaries
of the pro game.
Carolina's starting CB Terry Cousin missed the game last week (by design, coach
Fox rested him). Ike Hilliard, Jeremy Shockey, and Marcellus Rivers all missed
the game last week, along with starting QB Kerry Collins. Don't expect any of
those guys back this week, either.
The forecast for Giants Stadium calls for a high of 42F and a low of 30F, with
a 10% chance of precipitation. It sounds like a nice, clear day to play football
is on tap.
Carolina is playing very solid pass D in recent weeks, and the Giants just
don't have the horses to mount much of an attack. Advantage, Carolina.
Pittsburgh's Passing Game vs. The Baltimore Defense (Tough
Matchup)
This is a huge game for the Ravens, who are one game ahead of the Bengals -
but they could still lose the division and be out of the playoffs if they lose
to the Steelers and the Bengals beat the Browns.
Tommy Maddox got his mojo back last week against the Chargers, tossing 11/18
for 160 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions in the victory. Maddox has avoided
the turnover bug in his last 3 games, with 46/84 for 563 yards, 4 TDs and 1
interception to his credit during that span. Hines Ward has seen 28 passes (15/229/1)
during that span, while Plaxico Burress has had 20 (8/110/3) come his way. The
Steelers may be out of playoff contention, but they aren't playing like it.
Back in week 1, Maddox lit up Baltimore for 21/29 for 260 yards, 3 TDs and 0
interceptions - he had their number to start the season.
Rick Mirer tossed 16/35 for 186 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions against the
Ravens two weeks ago, while Tim Couch hit 17/33 for 163 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception
last week. The Ravens lead the league with 42 sacks, have 21 interceptions (tied
for 6th in the NFL) and are 4th in passing yards allowed per game, at 176.5
(they have surrendered 18 passing scores to date). This is one tough pass D,
folks.
Both units come into this game in relatively good health.
The forecast for M&T Bank Stadium calls for a high of 49F and a low of
36F, with a 20% chance of precipitation.
Maddox did well against these guys in week 1, but they have come together as
a unit since then - this looks like a tough matchup for Maddox and company at
this point in the season, especially since they are playing in the Ravens' house.
Seattle's Passing Attack vs. The San Francisco Defense (Tough
Matchup)
Matt Hasselbeck had a solid (but injury plagued) outing against the Cardinals
last week, with 17/24 for 179 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to his credit (Trent
Dilfer had 2/3 for 11 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in spot duty). Itula Mili
(6/70/0) and Bobby Engram (5/55/1) led the team last week in receptions and
yardage. Over the past 3 weeks, Hasselbeck has 55/95 for 643 yards, 2 TDs and
4 interceptions, so he's been pretty cold lately. Back in week 6, Hasselbeck
tossed 17/27 for 207 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception to lead his team to a slim
20-19 victory.
San Francisco held Donovan McNabb in check last week, allowing 17/27 for 238
yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions to the Eagles' QB. Two weeks ago, Jon Kitna
touched them for 18/25 for 189 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions. The 49'ers
like to pressure the opposing passer (2nd in the NFL with 41 sacks this season),
and have generated 21 interceptions to date (tied for 6th in the NFL). However,
their gambling style allows a lot of yardage (195.5 yards per game, 14th in
the NFL) and they get burned for TDs regularly (23 TDs to date).
Reserve DB Jimmy Williams (knee) was injured last week, while starting S Zack
Bronson (foot), starting CB Ahmed Plummer (back) and reserve DB Jason Webster
(chest) all missed last week's game. Hasselbeck has a torn labrum in his non-throwing
shoulder, and a sore ankle, but is expected to start as usual.
The forecast for 3 COM Park calls for a high of 54F and a low of 45F, with
a 10% chance for precipitation. Just about perfect football weather, in other
words.
San Francisco employs a gambling style of D that emphasizes the pass rush -
Seattle is vulnerable to that style (42 sacks allowed this season, tied for
3rd worst in the NFL). With the playoffs on the line, the Seahawks will be "up",
but they have a tough road ahead. Advantage, San Francisco.
Buffalo's Passing Attack vs. The New England Defense (Bad
Matchup)
Drew Bledsoe has been in the middle of a late-season swoon - last week, he
managed 12/24 for 114 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception against the Dolphin's
tough secondary. 38/69 for 354 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions over 3 games
isn't going to propel your team to the promised land (he's the 32nd ranked fantasy
QB during that span). Eric Moulds (21 targets for 8/79/0) and Bobby Shaw (18
targets for 12/139/1) have been his main receivers in those weeks, for what
it's been worth. Back in week 1, he had a solid game against the Patriots, tossing
17/28 for 230 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception against the Patriots.
New England's pass D remains ferocious - Chad Pennington threw 24/43 for 229
yards, 0 TDs and 5 interceptions against them last week, while Byron Leftwich
managed 21/40 for 288 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions against them two weeks
ago. They lead the league allowing only 11 TD passes all season, and average
203.9 passing yards allowed per game (17th in the NFL). The Patriots are also
tied for the league lead in interceptions with 27 to date. Ferocious is definitely
the word.
The forecast for Gillette Stadium calls for a high of 30F and a low of 24F,
with a 10% chance for precipitation. It should be a crisp, clear day for a football
game.
Both teams enjoy relatively good health.
Bledsoe has been down in the dumps for almost all of December, and the Patriots
sport a top Pass D - plus, they have seeding in the playoffs to worry about
(and revenge against the Bills to inflict), while the Bills have got nothing
on the line this week. Advantage, New England.
Detroit's Passing Attack vs. The St. Louis Defense (Bad
Matchup)
As a team, the Lions' QBs threw for 7/19 for 53 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception
(Harrington was 3/8 for 17 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions, while McMahon tossed
4/11 for 36 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception). The offensive team had 21:46 time
of possession in the game. That just flat-out stinks to high heaven. 20/36 for
197 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception was what Harrington managed the week before,
vs. the worst secondary in the NFL (Kansas City). It just keeps getting uglier
in Detroit.
St. Louis has limited their last two opponents, holding Matt Hasselbeck to
21/37 for 246 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception two weeks ago, and keeping Jon
Kitna in line with 16/29 for 202 yards, 1 TD and 3 interceptions last week.
The Rams are tied for second in the league with 23 interceptions, and have 41
sacks to their credit this year (tied 2nd in the NFL). They rank 10th in the
league allowing an average of 189.5 passing yards per game, and have given up
20 passing scores to date. One thing Detroit can do - pass block: they are first
in the NFL with only 10 sacks allowed all year, so the Rams' "sack machine"
doesn't give them a huge edge in this matchup.
More good news for the Lions: current starting WR Bill Schroeder suffered a
concussion last week, and reserve WR/KR Eddie Drummond has been sidelined in
recent weeks due to ankle and knee injuries. St. Louis' unit is in good health.
This game is to be played in a dome, so weather isn't a factor.
The wheels have come off, the engine has fallen out, and the gas tank has exploded
in Detroit. Advantage, St. Louis.
New York Jet's Passing Attack vs. The Miami Defense (Bad
Matchup)
This one is for pride, because both teams are out of the playoff race.
Chad Pennington hasn't been too hot of late, with 54/97 for 528 yards, 0 TDs
and 6 interceptions in the last 3 weeks (2/10/1 rushing). With no TDs to spread
around, the best Jet receiver during that span has been Moss (15/157/0 - 46th
among all fantasy WR's for that 3 week span in FP per game). There isn't a lot
more to say about the situation than to point out the Jets are stone-cold.
The Dolphins rank as the 19th pass D in the land, averaging 209.6 passing yards
allowed per game - however, they have only given up 11 passing scores all season
(tied for 1st in the NFL). Last week, 15/28 for 155 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception
was what the Bills managed to put up. Two weeks ago, Donovan McNabb had 15/27
for 236 yards, 0 TD' s and 1 interception. When you are a QB across from the
Dolphins, it's tough to find the end-zone. They are tied for 4th in the league
with 40 sacks, and have 22 interceptions this year (5th in the NFL).
Both teams enjoy decent health among their starting units, for this point in
the season.
The forecast for Pro Player Stadium calls for a high of 79F and a low of 61F,
with a 10% chance for precipitation. Sounds like great football weather is coming
to south Florida.
The Dolphins are stingy with passing scores, and the Jets can't buy one in
recent weeks - a big edge flows to the home team in this one.
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